Back to Learn
Tesla Lease Prices Are About to Jump 67%. Here’s the Smarter Play No One’s Talking About.
Published 12/16/25
Updated 12/17/25
TL;DR (3–4 min read): Tesla’s lease prices are jumping fast, making leasing wildly unpredictable. The smart move many drivers are making now is leasing during Tesla’s discounted windows, then buying out the car to lock in a stable payment and opt out of the lease cycle altogether.
If you’re shopping a Tesla lease right now, you probably feel like you’re in a game of chicken with the calendar.
One minute it’s $299/month for a Model 3 and suddenly—boom—Tesla’s warning that the same car could jump to $499/month with double the money down by the end of the month.
(That’s not a typo. That’s a 67% monthly payment increase overnight. 🤔)
And it’s not just the Model 3. Model Y leases are climbing 22–35%. Even the Cybertruck isn’t immune.
This is classic Tesla end-of-quarter theater. But this time, it hits different, because it exposes something a lot of drivers are starting to realize:
Leasing isn’t predictable anymore.
The Problem Isn’t Tesla. It’s the Lease Cycle
Let me be clear: Tesla didn’t suddenly become evil this week.
They (and many other manufacturers) have always used aggressive end-of-quarter pricing to pull demand forward. What’s new is how extreme the swing is, and how exposed drivers are when lease pricing snaps back to reality.
Here’s what leasing a Tesla now looks like:
- Temporary, subsidized payments
- Artificial urgency (“prices go up December 26th!”)
- Zero control over what happens next quarter—or next year
Reality check: If you lease today at $299/month, you’re not locking in value. You’re renting during a sale.
And when the sale ends? You’re back on the leasing treadmill (or roundabout, or merry-go-round...pick your favorite metaphor for being stuck 🙃).
The Hidden Tesla Advantage Most Drivers Miss
OK, so here's the part no one’s really talking about:
Tesla leases are becoming some of the best buyout opportunities in the market.
Why?
Because Tesla’s lease pricing is volatile—but the residual value in your lease contract is fixed.
That means if you lock in a lease during a subsidized pricing window and later decide to buy the car out, you’re converting short-term incentives into long-term ownership.
Instead of:
- Re-leasing at a much higher payment
- Chasing the next “deal”
- Getting whiplash every quarter
You can:
- Buy out the Tesla you already know
- Turn it into a standard auto loan
- Stabilize your payment and keep driving
That’s not speculation.
We’re already seeing it happen with Model 3 and Model Y drivers who leased during aggressive pricing periods and then opted out of the leasing cycle entirely.
Read More: Your Guide to Tesla Lease Buyouts | Updated: Lease End's 2025 Monthly Loan Payment Averages by Model
Why Tesla Lease Buyouts Are Suddenly the Calm Option
When lease prices jump 20–67% overnight, predictability becomes valuable.
A lease buyout gives you:
- Price certainty: No quarterly resets
- Payment stability: No “end-of-year surprise hikes”
- Control: You decide when you’re done leasing
And for EV drivers specifically, it solves a growing pain point: EV lease pricing is far more volatile than used EV values.
In other words, leasing Teslas has become chaotic, and owning them is getting calmer.
That’s the inversion most people don’t see coming.
The End-of-Quarter Play Is Changing
For years, the advice was simple: wait until the end of the quarter to lease a Tesla.
Now, the smarter move looks like this:
- Lease during Tesla’s aggressive pricing window.
- Drive the car you already like.
- Buy it out when the lease no longer makes sense.
That’s how drivers turn Tesla’s pricing games into their advantage.
And it’s exactly why lease buyouts—especially for Teslas—are accelerating right now.
Read More:
- Should I Buy Out My Tesla Lease?
- Should You Buy Out Your Lease? The Complete Decision Guide
- Record-High New Vehicle Prices: Are Lease Buyout Loans Smarter Than Ever?
The Bottom Line
A 67% lease hike isn’t just “wild pricing.”
It’s a signal.
It’s Tesla telling the market that lease deals are temporary, but the car itself still holds value.
If you’re staring at these price jumps and thinking, “There has to be a better way than re-leasing forever,” you’re right.
And it starts with realizing that leasing doesn’t have to end with returning the vehicle to Tesla for them to benefit from its remaining value.
Ready to end your lease and keep your car? Fill out the form below to get started on your fully-online convenient lease buyout.
Not ready to talk to anyone yet? Check your estimated monthly payment for your new auto loan via our instant lease buyout calculator.